IndianEra > Coronavirus > Covid-19 India: Is the ‘Worst-Case Scenario’ Inevitable?

COVID-19 positive cases are increasing every day and are just a few numbers away from the 50,000-mark.

In line with previous estimates, now the positive cases’ number is currently at 49,501, as per the latest figures on May 06, 2020, inching closer to 50,000.

Around 14,291 cases have recovered and there are more than 35,000 active cases.

Maharashtra is the worst affected state with more than 15,500 cases and 600+ deaths. Mumbai alone has 9,945 COVID-19 positive cases.

India Covid Cases

Predicted Active Cases Across Indian States on May 15 and June 1, 2020

Estimation on Corona Cases

Based on the compounded growth rate calculated in April last week, experts estimated that the cases would touch the 50,000-mark in 8 days from then.

[Read: Covid-19 India: 50,000 Positive Cases Likely in 8 Days!]

The Times Fact India Outbreak 2020 report had also said the positive cases would reach peaks in the early to mid-May 2020.

[Read: COVID-19 India: ‘Peak’ Situation Likely in Early-Mid May]

The report mentioned the best-case scenario for the above period as 30,000 cases and the worst-case scenario as 2.86 lakh.

Considering the Times estimates, the current situation is already beyond the best-case scenario within the first week of May 2020.

In a worst-case scenario at peaks, the Times report estimated that 30 percent of Indians would require intensive care support.

  • What if the same trend until mid-May 2020?
  • Will that be more critical touching the worst-case scenario?
  • To what extent is the government prepared to handle such a horrifying situation?

Answers to these questions will unfold as time passes, and it’s worth waiting!

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Posted by IndianEra, 06/05/2020